Michael Turk – Medium

Michael Turk

The Uninteresting Reality of Absentee Ballot Counts

I have spent most of my adult life around elections. When I worked in state party politics, I drew the short straw and spent nearly every…

6 min readNov 11, 2020

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The Uninteresting Reality of Absentee Ballot Counts

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Michael Turk

This CDC Chart Sucks

There is bad data visualization and then there is the “COVID-19 cases in the United States by date of illness onset” chart shared by the…

2 min readMar 27, 2020

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This CDC Chart Sucks

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Michael Turk

What Might #Covid Numbers Look like by Easter

I put together four scenarios for where we might be by Easter. To get there, I created four estimates of the growth curve.

3 min readMar 25, 2020

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What Might #Covid Numbers Look like by Easter

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Michael Turk

Differences in projected numbers…

A few folks have asked why the numbers I laid out in this projection are considerably under our current case count. By my projections, we…

3 min readMar 19, 2020

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Differences in projected numbers…

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Michael Turk

Unemployment and Covid

I was doing research for one of our clients asking about the changes to unemployment compensation due to covid and thought I would share…

3 min readMar 17, 2020

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Unemployment and Covid

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Michael Turk

What #Covid could look like for Congress

I looked the other day at the number of US Senators over 60, and ran some numbers based on estimates of both infection and fatality rate…

3 min readMar 12, 2020

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What #Covid could look like for Congress

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Michael Turk

Showing the Math

My friend Scott challenged me to “show the math” on the growth of the coronavirus based on current numbers. First, to understand the…

4 min readMar 11, 2020

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Showing the Math

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Michael Turk

We Cannot Gauge CFR from the Diamond Princess cases… yet.

I’ve seen some discussion that we can assume a CFR for #covid around 1 based on the passengers aboard the Diamond Princess. The logic goes…

1 min readMar 11, 2020

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Michael Turk

Understanding the math of #Covid

I have spent a lot of time looking at the math of #covid. I try to ignore both the unrestrained panic as well as the comments of the…

4 min readMar 9, 2020

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Michael Turk

What Modern Populism Gets Wrong

With Tucker Carlson’s foray into the realm of populist whistleblowers, it’s worth exploring how the growth of neo-populism on the right…

5 min readJan 10, 2019

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What Modern Populism Gets Wrong

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Michael Turk

Michael Turk

Turk has worked in politics and policy for nearly thirty years, including three presidential campaigns, and countless local, state, and issue advocacy campaigns

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