Michael Turk – Medium

Michael Turk

Michael Turk

The Uninteresting Reality of Absentee Ballot Counts

I have spent most of my adult life around elections. When I worked in state party politics, I drew the short straw and spent nearly every…

Nov 11, 2020

The Uninteresting Reality of Absentee Ballot Counts

Nov 11, 2020

Michael Turk

This CDC Chart Sucks

There is bad data visualization and then there is the “COVID-19 cases in the United States by date of illness onset” chart shared by the…

Mar 27, 2020

This CDC Chart Sucks

Mar 27, 2020

Michael Turk

What Might #Covid Numbers Look like by Easter

I put together four scenarios for where we might be by Easter. To get there, I created four estimates of the growth curve.

Mar 25, 2020

What Might #Covid Numbers Look like by Easter

Mar 25, 2020

Michael Turk

Differences in projected numbers…

A few folks have asked why the numbers I laid out in this projection are considerably under our current case count. By my projections, we…

Mar 19, 2020

Differences in projected numbers…

Mar 19, 2020

Michael Turk

Unemployment and Covid

I was doing research for one of our clients asking about the changes to unemployment compensation due to covid and thought I would share…

Mar 17, 2020

Unemployment and Covid

Mar 17, 2020

Michael Turk

What #Covid could look like for Congress

I looked the other day at the number of US Senators over 60, and ran some numbers based on estimates of both infection and fatality rate…

Mar 12, 2020

What #Covid could look like for Congress

Mar 12, 2020

Michael Turk

Showing the Math

My friend Scott challenged me to “show the math” on the growth of the coronavirus based on current numbers. First, to understand the…

Mar 11, 2020

Showing the Math

Mar 11, 2020

Michael Turk

We Cannot Gauge CFR from the Diamond Princess cases… yet.

I’ve seen some discussion that we can assume a CFR for #covid around 1 based on the passengers aboard the Diamond Princess. The logic goes…

Mar 11, 2020

Mar 11, 2020

Michael Turk

Understanding the math of #Covid

I have spent a lot of time looking at the math of #covid. I try to ignore both the unrestrained panic as well as the comments of the…

Mar 9, 2020

Mar 9, 2020

Michael Turk

What Modern Populism Gets Wrong

With Tucker Carlson’s foray into the realm of populist whistleblowers, it’s worth exploring how the growth of neo-populism on the right…

Jan 10, 2019

What Modern Populism Gets Wrong

Jan 10, 2019

Michael Turk

Michael Turk

Turk has worked in politics and policy for nearly thirty years, including three presidential campaigns, and countless local, state, and issue advocacy campaigns

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