The Uninteresting Reality of Absentee Ballot CountsI have spent most of my adult life around elections. When I worked in state party politics, I drew the short straw and spent nearly every…Nov 11, 2020Nov 11, 2020
This CDC Chart SucksThere is bad data visualization and then there is the “COVID-19 cases in the United States by date of illness onset” chart shared by the…Mar 27, 2020Mar 27, 2020
What Might #Covid Numbers Look like by EasterI put together four scenarios for where we might be by Easter. To get there, I created four estimates of the growth curve.Mar 25, 2020Mar 25, 2020
Differences in projected numbers…A few folks have asked why the numbers I laid out in this projection are considerably under our current case count. By my projections, we…Mar 19, 2020Mar 19, 2020
Unemployment and CovidI was doing research for one of our clients asking about the changes to unemployment compensation due to covid and thought I would share…Mar 17, 2020Mar 17, 2020
What #Covid could look like for CongressI looked the other day at the number of US Senators over 60, and ran some numbers based on estimates of both infection and fatality rate…Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020
Showing the MathMy friend Scott challenged me to “show the math” on the growth of the coronavirus based on current numbers. First, to understand the…Mar 11, 2020Mar 11, 2020
We Cannot Gauge CFR from the Diamond Princess cases… yet.I’ve seen some discussion that we can assume a CFR for #covid around 1 based on the passengers aboard the Diamond Princess. The logic goes…Mar 11, 2020Mar 11, 2020
Understanding the math of #CovidI have spent a lot of time looking at the math of #covid. I try to ignore both the unrestrained panic as well as the comments of the…Mar 9, 2020Mar 9, 2020
What Modern Populism Gets WrongWith Tucker Carlson’s foray into the realm of populist whistleblowers, it’s worth exploring how the growth of neo-populism on the right…Jan 10, 2019Jan 10, 2019